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Position of the Day 04-27-24 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 26 June 2024, at 11:44 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 04-27-24 (Stick)

I thought this could potentially trip people up OtB as the player being cubed has a solid offensive position and his blots, while many, are at least kind of out of the way being on the lower points and the outfield shots need large numbers too. However, as John mentioned, beware the bgs on top of everything else.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 165
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaa-BBDAAA-a--aa-bbcbCA---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.20% (G:43.25% B:10.05%) 65.96% (G:45.32% B:11.39%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.80% (G:7.83% B:0.39%) 34.04% (G:7.89% B:0.43%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.755 +1.606
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.795 (-0.205)±0.013 (+0.782..+0.809)
Double/Take:+1.319 (+0.319)±0.032 (+1.287..+1.350)
Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 02 seconds

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