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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 10 July 2008, at 4:38 a.m.

In Response To: Neil v. Stick Finals #2 (Stick)

I looked at this play for a fair amount of time, esp. considering how quickly I play. I decided that two down from the mid was the way to go. I'd break the mid if necessary as the 9pt is a more valuable blocking pt. against the 4pt anchor than the bar pt. I didn't feel the spare on the mid was worth too much if that was my plan with the two down play and honestly I'd be talking circles if I tried to nail down why 13/8 11/7 is the better play. (I have not taken the time yet to break down how all my rolls will play next turn, this may be the key but I'll do it after I've rolled out the entire match)

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil_Kazaross 0, Stick_Rice 0 (match to 13 points)

Move number 8: Stick_Rice to play 54

Neil_Kazaross	142
Stick_Rice	170
Position ID: iufBAQbgM/KABQ Match ID: cImyAQAAAAAA

• Stick_Rice moves 13/9 13/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	13/8 11/7	-0.2150
			0.4454 0.0937 0.0034 - 0.5546 0.1253 0.0032 -0.1420 -0.2150 0.0018 0.0017 0.0003 - 0.0018 0.0020 0.0005 0.0044 0.0112
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1006 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 827851321 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	13/9 13/8	-0.2376 ( -0.0226)
			0.4444 0.0975 0.0023 - 0.5556 0.1455 0.0044 -0.1634 -0.2376 0.0021 0.0018 0.0005 - 0.0021 0.0022 0.0005 0.0054 0.0130
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1006 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 827851321 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Neil v. Stick Finals #2
  Stick -- Wednesday, 9 July 2008, at 5:23 a.m.
  • Neil v. Stick Finals #2
    MandM1951 -- Wednesday, 9 July 2008, at 12:42 p.m.
  • Neil v. Stick Finals #2
    Stein Kulseth -- Wednesday, 9 July 2008, at 2:02 p.m.
  • Neil v. Stick Finals #2
    Keene -- Wednesday, 9 July 2008, at 2:16 p.m.
  • Neil v. Stick Finals #2
    garyo -- Wednesday, 9 July 2008, at 6:46 p.m.
  • Neil v. Stick Finals #2
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 9 July 2008, at 7:37 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Thursday, 10 July 2008, at 4:38 a.m.
    • Rollout
      Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 10 July 2008, at 5:11 p.m.
      • Rollout
        Stick -- Thursday, 10 July 2008, at 5:48 p.m.
        • I'll run it now on the work computer
          neilkaz -- Thursday, 10 July 2008, at 5:54 p.m.
          • 622 games 1 jsd
            neilkaz -- Friday, 11 July 2008, at 12:05 a.m.
            • 622 games 1 jsd
              Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 11 July 2008, at 12:20 a.m.
              • 622 games 1 jsd
                Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 11 July 2008, at 2:12 p.m.
          • 2500 games 0.5 jsd
            neilkaz -- Saturday, 12 July 2008, at 3:38 a.m.