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Rollout + variant

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 16 July 2024, at 1:44 p.m.

In Response To: 65 to play, but there's no lover's leap (Timothy Chow)

Blue is still behind in the pip count after this roll, but XG favors 22/16 13/8. This play gives Blue a more flexible position than after 13/8 13/7. But see the variant below.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 142
Unlimited Game
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BE-A---dDa--bbd--BAa-:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 65

1.Rollout122/16 13/8eq: -0.205
Player:
Opponent:		45.01% (G:12.93% B:0.47%)
54.99% (G:16.44% B:0.59%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.219...-0.192) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 56 seconds
2.Rollout122/16 6/1* eq: -0.271 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:		43.78% (G:13.92% B:0.42%)
56.22% (G:18.95% B:1.07%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.287...-0.255) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 29 seconds
3.Rollout113/8 13/7eq: -0.273 (-0.068)
Player:
Opponent:		43.15% (G:12.80% B:0.42%)
56.85% (G:15.04% B:0.59%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.288...-0.259) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 48 seconds
4.Rollout113/7 6/1* eq: -0.294 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		42.38% (G:13.51% B:0.42%)
57.62% (G:16.73% B:0.80%)		Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.311...-0.276) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 37 seconds
5.Rollout122/11eq: -0.334 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		41.87% (G:11.94% B:0.44%)
58.13% (G:17.27% B:0.80%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.348...-0.321) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 06 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52672062
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

Variant:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 142
Unlimited Game
pip: 174
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BD-A---dEa--bbd--BAa-:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 65

1.Rollout113/8 13/7eq: -0.187
Player:
Opponent:		45.62% (G:12.89% B:0.52%)
54.38% (G:15.58% B:0.57%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.202...-0.172) - [98.4%]
Duration: 7 minutes 50 seconds
2.Rollout122/16 13/8eq: -0.211 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		45.37% (G:12.36% B:0.48%)
54.63% (G:18.14% B:0.60%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.227...-0.195) - [1.6%]
Duration: 7 minutes 06 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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