The rollouts below say that the two plays are close at gammon go, but not for money.
          
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 142 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 134
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---bB-ECBa--bA-a---dbcA-A-:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 63 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 22/13 | eq: +0.025 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.62% (G:9.95% B:0.44%)
48.38% (G:12.60% B:0.34%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.013...+0.036) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 33 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/15* | eq: -0.176 (-0.200) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.56% (G:14.52% B:0.78%)
53.44% (G:19.28% B:1.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.191...-0.161) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Gammon go:
| | White is Player 2
score: 1
pip: 142 | 2 point match
Crawford | pip: 134
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---bB-ECBa--bA-a---dbcA-A-:0:0:1:63:0:1:1:2:10 |
| Blue to play 63 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 22/13 | eq: +0.214 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.67% (G:8.05% B:0.70%)
47.33% (G:11.11% B:0.79%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.209...+0.220) - [98.9%]
Duration: 3 minutes 06 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/15* | eq: +0.204 (-0.011) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.95% (G:13.24% B:2.06%)
53.05% (G:20.31% B:2.35%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.196...+0.211) - [1.1%]
Duration: 3 minutes 55 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2