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Rollout + variant

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 29 July 2024, at 4:00 a.m.

In Response To: What's the least bad blot to leave? (Timothy Chow)

I could try to make up an explanation for this one, but I haven't figured out an explanation that also explains the variant below.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 138
Unlimited Game
pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b-aB-D-B-A--D---d-bbbb-B-:1:1:1:43:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.Rollout113/10 13/9eq: -0.226
Player:
Opponent:		39.96% (G:10.08% B:0.55%)
60.04% (G:27.08% B:3.04%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.238...-0.214) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 27 seconds
2.Rollout113/10 6/2eq: -0.334 (-0.109)
Player:
Opponent:		36.47% (G:8.46% B:0.49%)
63.53% (G:27.39% B:2.71%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.345...-0.323) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 32 seconds
3.Rollout113/9 6/3* eq: -0.343 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:		39.00% (G:9.75% B:0.60%)
61.00% (G:32.79% B:6.02%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.355...-0.330) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 12 seconds
4.Rollout110/3* eq: -0.369 (-0.144)
Player:
Opponent:		35.86% (G:8.41% B:0.48%)
64.14% (G:28.53% B:3.28%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.380...-0.359) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 28 seconds
5.Rollout213/6eq: -0.399 (-0.173)
Player:
Opponent:		33.71% (G:7.89% B:0.37%)
66.29% (G:26.36% B:2.40%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.408...-0.389) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 21 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

Variant:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 136
Unlimited Game
pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--baB-D-B-A--D---d-bbbb-B-:1:1:1:43:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.Rollout113/9 6/3* eq: -0.334
Player:
Opponent:		39.42% (G:8.86% B:0.44%)
60.58% (G:31.72% B:5.38%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.346...-0.322) - [97.6%]
Duration: 4 minutes 04 seconds
2.Rollout110/3* eq: -0.350 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:		36.47% (G:8.18% B:0.42%)
63.53% (G:28.04% B:3.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.360...-0.340) - [2.4%]
Duration: 3 minutes 45 seconds
3.Rollout113/6eq: -0.393 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		33.87% (G:7.62% B:0.39%)
66.13% (G:25.80% B:2.33%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.403...-0.383) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 21 seconds
4.Rollout113/10 13/9eq: -0.409 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		34.74% (G:7.54% B:0.34%)
65.26% (G:28.48% B:3.25%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.420...-0.397) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 41 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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