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BGonline.org Forums
This is the kind of cube decision that JOH is good at
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: This is the kind of cube decision that JOH is good at (Timothy Chow)
Date: Tuesday, 30 July 2024, at 2:06 p.m.
I'll take a stab at it. TP is ~16% so White needs to win about 5.8 games out of 36. Blue has 8 great numbers to clear safely, 25 that leave a direct, and 3 that leave a six number indirect. White's hitting chances figure to be about 1/3 of 25 plus 1/6 of 3 which is close to 9/36. Can White win 5.8 of these 9? I think so but it looks close. White can also win the race without hitting so I'd say it is a take. There are lots of market losers so I think Blue has to recube. R/T.
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