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Another what if - a player always makes the worst plays for his initial moves?

Posted By: MK
Date: Sunday, 4 August 2024, at 10:04 a.m.

In Response To: Another what if - a player always makes the worst plays for his initial moves? (MK)

Unlike in DailyGammon, nobody here made any predictions on this experiment either but here are the results anyway:

Mutant won only 40.70% (-0.3800 ppg, -190 Elo) of points and 40.79% of games cubeless, compared to 42.15% (-0.4371 ppg, -220 Elo) of points and 40.26% of games cubeful.

The results in detail are posted on my web site as experiment #25 at:

https://montanaonline.net/backgammon/py3.php

Again the question is: why did the mutant do better in cubeful than in cubeless games?

I think I do know why but let's give the mathematicians and gambling giants a first stab at trying to explain it.

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