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Rollout for money and DMP

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 4 August 2024, at 2:13 p.m.

In Response To: Third roll of the game (43D-53H-55) (Timothy Chow)

As I learned from Ballard and Weaver's book, this is a "Naked Ace Point" position.

The DMP rollout is pretty interesting as a comparison.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
Unlimited Game
pip: 176
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-CaA-eC---c-e----BA:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 55

1.Rollout1Bar/20 13/8 6/1*(2) eq: -0.004
Player:
Opponent:
48.05% (G:18.31% B:0.34%)
51.95% (G:12.41% B:0.70%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.020...+0.012) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 33 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/20 10/5 6/1*(2) eq: -0.063 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:
46.95% (G:17.75% B:0.41%)
53.05% (G:13.46% B:0.82%)
Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.081...-0.046) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 42 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/10 6/1* eq: -0.065 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:
47.90% (G:14.85% B:0.43%)
52.10% (G:13.58% B:0.82%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.080...-0.050) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 32 seconds
4.Rollout1Bar/10 13/8eq: -0.079 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:
47.93% (G:13.87% B:0.55%)
52.07% (G:13.32% B:0.70%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.092...-0.066) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 10 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release


DMP:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
1 point match
pip: 176
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-CaA-eC---c-e----BA:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 55

1.Rollout1Bar/10 6/1* eq: -0.035
Player:
Opponent:
48.27% (G:14.86% B:1.02%)
51.73% (G:15.61% B:2.54%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.038...-0.032) - [72.9%]
Duration: 26 minutes 20 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/20 13/8 6/1*(2) eq: -0.036 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
48.20% (G:19.45% B:1.02%)
51.80% (G:13.96% B:2.19%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.039...-0.033) - [27.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 57 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/10 13/8eq: -0.040 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
48.01% (G:14.44% B:1.40%)
51.99% (G:14.97% B:2.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.043...-0.037) - [0.1%]
Duration: 24 minutes 10 seconds
4.Rollout1Bar/20 10/5 6/1*(2) eq: -0.054 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:
47.30% (G:19.26% B:0.94%)
52.70% (G:15.43% B:2.63%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.057...-0.051) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 55 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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