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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 5 August 2024, at 2:11 p.m.

In Response To: Time to break anchor? (Timothy Chow)

It's only because White has three blots in her board and Blue has such a strong board himself that breaking anchor is a candidate. I did break anchor here, but I played 18/7, missing the possibility of 18/13 7/1. It makes sense that strengthening the board is more important than safetying the blot on the midpoint, but it's an unusual play and psychologically hard to see.

The prosaic play of 9/4 7/1 isn't all that bad, though.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 96
Unlimited Game
pip: 95
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ABBBABB-A--b-b--bBbabaab-:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 65

1.Rollout118/13 7/1eq: -0.023
Player:
Opponent:
47.95% (G:17.27% B:0.54%)
52.05% (G:12.64% B:0.66%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.030...-0.017) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 22 seconds
2.Rollout19/4 7/1eq: -0.062 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent:
48.04% (G:3.84% B:0.07%)
51.96% (G:2.99% B:0.10%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.069...-0.054) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 22 seconds
3.Rollout17/2 7/1eq: -0.072 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:
47.59% (G:3.98% B:0.06%)
52.41% (G:3.22% B:0.12%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.080...-0.065) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 20 seconds
4.Rollout17/1 6/1eq: -0.082 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:
47.60% (G:3.71% B:0.08%)
52.40% (G:3.86% B:0.21%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.089...-0.074) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 17 seconds
5.Rollout19/3 6/1eq: -0.086 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:
47.27% (G:3.07% B:0.05%)
52.73% (G:4.16% B:0.17%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.094...-0.078) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 10 seconds
6.Rollout19/3 7/2eq: -0.098 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:
46.96% (G:3.10% B:0.05%)
53.04% (G:3.39% B:0.18%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.105...-0.090) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 06 seconds
7.Rollout118/7eq: -0.115 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:
45.39% (G:14.53% B:0.36%)
54.61% (G:7.27% B:0.33%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.123...-0.108) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 05 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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