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ROLLOUT: Are you feeling lucky....

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Thursday, 8 August 2024, at 2:02 a.m.

In Response To: Are you feeling lucky.... (ah_clem)

Believe it or not, this actually came up in play - it was a match to five, but since score didn't really matter I posted it as unlimited.

I didn't want to reduce my timing by hitting so I played the fourth best move. Was surprised that XG favors the YOLO play.

Whether the bot gets this right is another discussion that I'm not really qualified to venture an opinion.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 136
Unlimited Game
pip: 202
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-C-aBaB----aa---bAbbcbCB-B:1:1:1:11:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 11

1.Rollout1Bar/24(2) 6/5* 4/3* eq: -1.173
Player:
Opponent:
18.40% (G:0.32% B:0.01%)
81.60% (G:53.99% B:8.86%)
Conf.: ± 0.019 (-1.193...-1.154) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/24(2) 4/3*(2) eq: -1.226 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:
13.60% (G:0.93% B:0.03%)
86.40% (G:51.42% B:4.96%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (-1.238...-1.213) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 16 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/24(2) 6/5*(2) eq: -1.248 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:
12.75% (G:1.03% B:0.03%)
87.25% (G:52.06% B:4.67%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-1.261...-1.236) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 15 seconds
4.Rollout1Bar/23(2)eq: -1.327 (-0.153)
Player:
Opponent:
11.61% (G:0.58% B:0.01%)
88.39% (G:56.47% B:4.57%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (-1.338...-1.315) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 58 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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