This is perhaps an illustration of Joe Sylvester's adage, "When defending, make defensive plays." Blue's position is too weak to permit him to pass up the better anchor for a risky hit; the hit just doesn't gain very much. If Blue's forward position were stronger then it might be a different story.
         
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 137 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 148
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---Bb-E-C--acC-----cbbb-AA:1:1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 24/23 | eq: -0.362 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 31.81% (G:5.10% B:0.18%)
68.19% (G:16.83% B:0.67%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.374...-0.350) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 40 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/24 13/11* | eq: -0.538 (-0.177) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 28.13% (G:6.03% B:0.24%)
71.87% (G:25.93% B:1.33%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.547...-0.530) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 58 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Variant:
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 139 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 148
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---bBBC-C--acC-----cbbb-AA:1:1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 24/23 | eq: +0.067 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.28% (G:10.52% B:0.39%)
53.72% (G:14.51% B:0.62%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.060...+0.073) - [99.7%]
Duration: 6 minutes 50 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/24 13/11* | eq: +0.053 (-0.013) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.86% (G:13.40% B:0.61%)
53.14% (G:19.67% B:0.89%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.046...+0.060) - [0.3%]
Duration: 7 minutes 11 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release