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Rollout + variant

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 18 August 2024, at 2:46 p.m.

In Response To: Hit on the ace point? Problem 2 (Timothy Chow)

In addition to being a blitzing play, hitting on the ace point serves as a tempo hit that makes it harder for White to unstack effectively.

The variant is more of a priming position, and also makes hitting riskier for Blue because White's offensive position is stronger. XG eschews the hit in the variant.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 134
Unlimited Game
pip: 127
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B-BD-C---bBAa-bde---A--:1:-1:1:41:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 41

1.Rollout16/1* eq: +0.198
Player:
Opponent:
59.99% (G:25.16% B:0.72%)
40.01% (G:9.98% B:0.52%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.190...+0.207) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 55 seconds
2.Rollout123/22 14/10eq: +0.084 (-0.114)
Player:
Opponent:
58.16% (G:17.86% B:0.57%)
41.84% (G:9.72% B:0.47%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.076...+0.092) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 45 seconds
3.Rollout114/10 6/5eq: +0.057 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:
56.59% (G:18.35% B:0.52%)
43.41% (G:9.08% B:0.37%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.049...+0.065) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 39 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release


Variant:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 132
Unlimited Game
pip: 127
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B-BD-C---bBAa-bdcb--A--:1:-1:1:41:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 41

1.Rollout123/22 14/10eq: -0.283
Player:
Opponent:
46.64% (G:13.01% B:0.46%)
53.36% (G:13.82% B:0.50%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.293...-0.273) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 23 seconds
2.Rollout16/1* eq: -0.310 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:
44.58% (G:18.28% B:0.45%)
55.42% (G:15.67% B:0.86%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.320...-0.300) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 30 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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