Yes, it does matter. I opted to make the "normal" play of 13/7*(2), but XG says that's a whopper with cheese ATS.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 134 | 2 point match Crawford | pip: 148 score: 1
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-a----EaC---bF--Ac-dbb----:0:0:1:33:1:0:1:2:10 |
| Blue to play 33 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 16/10 13/10(2) | eq: -0.057 |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.44% (G:2.81% B:0.14%) 49.56% (G:3.30% B:0.09%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.061...-0.053) - [100.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 48 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7*(2) | eq: -0.184 (-0.127) |
| Player: Opponent: | 54.36% (G:8.02% B:0.79%) 45.64% (G:13.57% B:0.49%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.191...-0.178) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 40 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62908879 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
Money:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 134 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 148 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-a----EaC---bF--Ac-dbb----:1:1:1:33:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 33 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7*(2) | eq: +0.232 |
| Player: Opponent: | 53.52% (G:7.37% B:0.35%) 46.48% (G:12.96% B:0.26%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.218...+0.246) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 52 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 16/10 13/10(2) | eq: +0.186 (-0.046) |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.19% (G:2.96% B:0.07%) 49.81% (G:3.67% B:0.08%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.179...+0.193) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 39 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62908879 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release