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6 to play from the bar (rollout)

Posted By: happyjuggler0
Date: Thursday, 10 July 2008, at 6:17 p.m.

In Response To: 6 to play from the bar (happyjuggler0)

I guess I was too worried about getting blitzed with a double hit, but with white's blot on his 5pt this threat is diminished. Also white's 11pt makes going to his 10pt less of a good idea.

Thanks to those who replied with their thoughts.

The score (after 1 game) is: white 0, blue 1

Move number 5: blue to play 64


1O1O ' '1X4X '3X ' '2X4O

1X ' ' '1X4O '4O ' ' '3X

Pip counts: white 158, blue 180
Position ID: 0HPMASHgefAAVA Match ID: cAkTAAAACAAA

• blue moves bar/15

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0.192
0.434 0.106 0.003 - 0.566 0.160 0.009
Cubeful equities:
1.No double -0.274
2.Double, pass +1.000 +1.274
3.Double, take -0.773 -0.499
Proper cube action:No double, beaver (28.1%)

Alert: very bad move ( -0.046)

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.338)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R bar/21 24/18 -0.522
0.3860.0770.003-0.6140.1950.010 -0.353 -0.522
0.0020.0010.000-0.0020.0020.001 0.005 0.013
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1185 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 827952960 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R bar/21 13/7 -0.563 ( -0.041)
0.3790.0840.003-0.6210.2110.017 -0.383 -0.563
0.0020.0020.000-0.0020.0030.002 0.006 0.016
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 827952960 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R bar/15 -0.568 ( -0.046)
0.3810.0770.003-0.6190.2110.011 -0.380 -0.568
0.0020.0010.000-0.0020.0020.001 0.005 0.015
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 827952960 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R bar/21 8/2 -0.653 ( -0.132)
0.3620.0760.003-0.6380.2130.012 -0.422 -0.653
0.0070.0030.001-0.0070.0070.002 0.017 0.052
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
146 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 828273536 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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