White's dearth of hit-and-cover numbers means that 8/2 4/3 is not as risky as it looks. White will not even hit with 21, and even though she will hit with any ace, the resulting blotty position is not that great for her (unless she rolls the 11 joker).
            
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 76 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 126
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---AC-DbB----C--B--bbaadc-:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/2 4/3 | eq: +0.072 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.15% (G:14.91% B:1.27%)
49.85% (G:14.21% B:0.12%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.060...+0.084) - [99.6%]
Duration: 2 minutes 39 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 16/10 4/3 | eq: +0.051 (-0.021) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.76% (G:12.55% B:1.00%)
50.24% (G:15.05% B:0.10%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.042...+0.061) - [0.4%]
Duration: 2 minutes 41 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 8/2 3/2 | eq: -0.023 (-0.095) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.42% (G:11.52% B:0.77%)
53.58% (G:10.65% B:0.10%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.034...-0.012) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 13/6 | eq: -0.052 (-0.124) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 45.91% (G:9.98% B:0.54%)
54.09% (G:10.67% B:0.16%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.063...-0.041) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 34 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Variant:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 80 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 126
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---AC-DbB----C--B--cbaacc-:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 16/10 4/3 | eq: -0.127 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 44.97% (G:10.50% B:0.82%)
55.03% (G:19.30% B:0.13%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.134...-0.119) - [72.6%]
Duration: 4 minutes 13 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/2 4/3 | eq: -0.130 (-0.003) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 44.78% (G:12.17% B:0.87%)
55.22% (G:18.36% B:0.19%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.139...-0.121) - [27.4%]
Duration: 4 minutes 15 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 13/6 | eq: -0.194 (-0.068) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.37% (G:8.11% B:0.42%)
57.63% (G:11.10% B:0.16%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.206...-0.183) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 13 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release