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Rollout

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Sunday, 25 August 2024, at 11:32 p.m.

In Response To: 41 to play at GG (John O'Hagan)

I quickly played 10/6 9/8 here without even considering the best play. The best play here is 10/6 2/1* with 9/5 2/1* a close 2nd. These plays both win extra gammons and lose extra games but the extra gammons are greater than the extra losses which makes it the correct play at GG.





White is Player 2

score: 5
pip: 95
7 point match
pip: 90
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBBBBB-BAA----Abb-cc---d-:1:-1:1:14:3:5:0:7:10
Blue to play 14

1.Rollout110/6 2/1* eq: +0.818
Player:
Opponent:		73.39% (G:17.53% B:0.76%)
26.61% (G:7.97% B:0.35%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.815...+0.821) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 51 seconds
2.Rollout19/5 2/1* eq: +0.811 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		73.37% (G:17.18% B:0.80%)
26.63% (G:7.96% B:0.29%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.808...+0.814) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 48 seconds
3.Rollout210/5eq: +0.795 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent:		80.33% (G:9.41% B:0.29%)
19.67% (G:2.06% B:0.06%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.791...+0.799) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24.1 seconds
4.Rollout215/11 2/1* eq: +0.785 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		72.28% (G:16.97% B:1.05%)
27.72% (G:9.81% B:0.49%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.779...+0.790) - [0.0%]
Duration: 39.8 seconds
5.Rollout210/6 9/8eq: +0.776 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:		80.50% (G:8.31% B:0.15%)
19.50% (G:1.30% B:0.06%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.773...+0.779) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20.3 seconds
6.Rollout210/6 8/7eq: +0.682 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:		74.31% (G:9.81% B:0.26%)
25.69% (G:5.17% B:0.08%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.678...+0.687) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32.1 seconds
7.Rollout215/11 8/7eq: +0.622 (-0.196)
Player:
Opponent:		72.45% (G:8.65% B:0.31%)
27.55% (G:6.76% B:0.12%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.618...+0.626) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36.7 seconds
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 12 moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply Red, cube decisions: 4-ply
Search interval: Large

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 12 moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply Red, cube decisions: 4-ply
Search interval: Large

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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