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XGR++ 7a 7a early cube action after hitting fiesta

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Monday, 26 August 2024, at 8:10 p.m.

In Response To: 7a 7a early cube action after hitting fiesta (ah_clem)

Turning off the sarcasm, O'Hagen's Law makes it clear that this is not a cube, despite the fact that blue has the edge in position, race, and threats. Thanks to John for pointing out the obvious. Don't see a need for a full rollout, so here's the XGR++ verdict.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 203
7 point match
pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-baaa-E-C-B-dC---bAc--a--A:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 58.93% (G:24.13% B:2.37%) 59.22% (G:23.56% B:2.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 41.07% (G:8.30% B:0.33%) 40.78% (G:8.44% B:0.33%)
Cubeless Equities +0.364 +0.742
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.508
Double/Take:+0.384 (-0.124)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.492)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 16.7%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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