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Variant

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 27 August 2024, at 4:12 a.m.

In Response To: XGR++ 7a 7a early cube action after hitting fiesta (ah_clem)

The quick-and-dirty rollout below is perhaps not to be trusted, but I think it's an interesting variant nonetheless.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 203
7 point match
pip: 154
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-baaaBC-C-B-dC---bAc--a--A:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 64.44% (G:31.17% B:4.32%) 64.01% (G:31.68% B:4.89%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 35.56% (G:5.72% B:0.42%) 35.99% (G:5.92% B:0.53%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.593 +1.225
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.839 (-0.066)±0.023 (+0.815..+0.862)
Double/Take:+0.904±0.032 (+0.873..+0.936)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.096)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:99.9%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 18 minutes 48 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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