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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 4 September 2024, at 11:48 a.m.

In Response To: For all you fans of ATS racing cubes out there... (Timothy Chow)

Bob Koca's estimate of 12.5% winning chances is extremely close to XG's estimate below.





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 16
7 point match
pip: 9
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-CC------------a-------c--:1:1:1:00:4:1:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 87.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 87.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 12.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 12.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.742 +1.225
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.859 (-0.038)±0.000 (+0.859..+0.859)
Redouble/Take:+0.898±0.001 (+0.897..+0.898)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.102)
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++
Search interval: Gigantic
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 0.7 second

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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