I succumbed to the temptation to attack, but XG says I would do better to advance my back checkers and make a four-prime. But see the two variants below.
          
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 137 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 147
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a-a--EBC----Cb--bcdBb----:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 20/16(2) 13/9(2) | eq: +0.611 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 66.33% (G:10.36% B:0.37%)
33.67% (G:5.34% B:0.19%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.599...+0.624) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 25 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 20/12(2) | eq: +0.447 (-0.165) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.59% (G:5.19% B:0.15%)
37.41% (G:4.04% B:0.12%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.438...+0.456) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 38 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/5(2) | eq: +0.410 (-0.201) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.52% (G:15.36% B:0.43%)
40.48% (G:6.23% B:0.23%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.398...+0.421) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 55 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 8/4(2) 7/3*(2) | eq: +0.409 (-0.203) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 57.73% (G:21.33% B:0.45%)
42.27% (G:7.84% B:0.34%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.395...+0.422) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 30 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Variant 1:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 136 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 147
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a--a-EBC----Cb--bcdBb----:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 8/4*(2) 6/2(2) | eq: +0.602 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.16% (G:21.91% B:0.52%)
37.84% (G:6.56% B:0.28%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 13/9(2) 8/4*(2) | eq: +0.465 (-0.137) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.88% (G:18.07% B:0.48%)
40.12% (G:6.55% B:0.24%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 20/16(2) 8/4*(2) | eq: +0.436 (-0.166) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.81% (G:12.83% B:0.39%)
38.19% (G:7.93% B:0.25%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller++ | 20/16(2) 13/9(2) | eq: +0.425 (-0.177) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.79% (G:8.14% B:0.28%)
37.21% (G:5.72% B:0.18%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Variant 2:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 136 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 147
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--aa--EBC----Cb--bcdBb----:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 20/16(2) 13/9(2) | eq: +0.623 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 66.88% (G:9.94% B:0.31%)
33.12% (G:4.84% B:0.15%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.615...+0.631) - [89.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 04 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 7/3*(2) 6/2*(2) | eq: +0.615 (-0.007) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.99% (G:25.90% B:0.53%)
38.01% (G:6.97% B:0.35%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.607...+0.624) - [11.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 42 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release