Another play from the facebook Humans vs XG series. We voted overwhelmingly to hit, but XG prefers the anchor by a small margin. Note that after anchoring, if your play is 7/5 that's substantially worse than hitting.
This is too close to get exercised about, but thought it might be of interest.
        
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 143 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 190
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-aa--BBCBa---Ab--bbbbAb-CA:1:1:1:42:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 42 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 13/11 | eq: -0.285 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 38.92% (G:7.67% B:0.34%)
61.08% (G:27.99% B:3.05%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.299...-0.272) - [74.7%]
Duration: 5 minutes 37 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 13/9* | eq: -0.292 (-0.007) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 39.30% (G:9.64% B:0.59%)
60.70% (G:30.48% B:4.41%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.307...-0.278) - [25.3%]
Duration: 5 minutes 35 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 7/5 | eq: -0.333 (-0.048) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 37.98% (G:7.27% B:0.35%)
62.02% (G:29.88% B:3.75%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.346...-0.321) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 41 seconds |
|
| 4. | 2-ply | Bar/21 8/6 | eq: -0.569 (-0.283) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.50% (G:4.70% B:0.26%)
67.50% (G:35.85% B:4.67%) | |
|
| 5. | 2-ply | Bar/21 5/3 | eq: -0.590 (-0.304) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.89% (G:4.11% B:0.26%)
66.11% (G:39.42% B:6.14%) | |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10