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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 11 July 2008, at 7:53 a.m.

In Response To: Neil v. Stick Finals #4 (Stick)

The rollout could use a bit of lengthening but I'm chopping it short for now, agreeing that making the 3pt is correct and that by how much is the only question in the air at the moment. I'll come back after I've done the match & notch up the rollouts a bit to get a true ER of the players.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil_Kazaross 0, Stick_Rice 0 (match to 13 points)

Move number 7: Neil_Kazaross to play 53

Neil_Kazaross	150
Stick_Rice	170
Position ID: 4DPygAXg68EBBg Match ID: MIGuAQAAAAAA

• Neil_Kazaross moves 7/2 6/3

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	8/3 6/3	+0.1974
			0.5423 0.1267 0.0040 - 0.4577 0.0897 0.0032 +0.1254 +0.1974 0.0031 0.0036 0.0007 - 0.0031 0.0027 0.0011 0.0074 0.0173
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			300 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 828288756 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	7/2 6/3	+0.1303 ( -0.0670)
			0.5327 0.1203 0.0024 - 0.4673 0.0939 0.0025 +0.0921 +0.1303 0.0036 0.0038 0.0008 - 0.0036 0.0029 0.0004 0.0092 0.0225
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			299 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 828288756 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Neil v. Stick Finals #4
  Stick -- Thursday, 10 July 2008, at 4:41 a.m.
  • Neil v. Stick Finals #4
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 10 July 2008, at 6:30 p.m.
    • Neil v. Stick Finals #4
      Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 10 July 2008, at 7:34 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Friday, 11 July 2008, at 7:53 a.m.