John chose the (marginal) best play. As you can see, the common feature of the better plays is not so much 22/18(2) but rather hitting on the 9.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 22/18(2) 13/9*(2) | eq: +0.0754 |
| Player: Opponent: | 53.77% (G:12.83% B:0.79%) 46.23% (G:10.78% B:0.90%) | Conf.: ±0.0008 (+0.0745...+0.0762) - [99.9%] Duration: 34 minutes 46 seconds |
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| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/9* 8/4(2) 6/2 | eq: +0.0735 (-0.0018) |
| Player: Opponent: | 53.68% (G:25.80% B:1.79%) 46.32% (G:12.56% B:1.40%) | Conf.: ±0.0008 (+0.0727...+0.0744) - [0.1%] Duration: 28 minutes 51 seconds |
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| 3. | Rollout2 | 13/9* 11/3* 6/2 | eq: +0.0446 (-0.0307) |
| Player: Opponent: | 52.23% (G:25.26% B:1.90%) 47.77% (G:13.45% B:1.65%) | Conf.: ±0.0025 (+0.0421...+0.0472) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 25 seconds |
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| 4. | Rollout3 | 13/9*(2) 8/4(2) | eq: +0.0291 (-0.0463) |
| Player: Opponent: | 51.46% (G:21.77% B:1.61%) 48.54% (G:13.67% B:1.57%) | Conf.: ±0.0038 (+0.0253...+0.0329) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 17 seconds |
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| 5. | Rollout3 | 22/18(2) 8/4(2) | eq: +0.0273 (-0.0481) |
| Player: Opponent: | 51.36% (G:10.12% B:0.58%) 48.64% (G:8.18% B:0.79%) | Conf.: ±0.0031 (+0.0241...+0.0304) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 13 seconds |
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| 6. | Rollout3 | 22/18(2) 13/9* 6/2 | eq: +0.0156 (-0.0598) |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.78% (G:14.23% B:0.86%) 49.22% (G:13.30% B:1.35%) | Conf.: ±0.0034 (+0.0121...+0.0190) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 18 seconds |
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| 7. | Rollout3 | 22/14(2) | eq: +0.0051 (-0.0703) |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.25% (G:8.08% B:0.53%) 49.75% (G:9.85% B:1.04%) | Conf.: ±0.0030 (+0.0020...+0.0081) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 18 seconds |
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| 8. | Rollout4 | 13/9*(2) 11/7 6/2 | eq: -0.0038 (-0.0792) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.81% (G:19.64% B:1.15%) 50.19% (G:12.11% B:1.10%) | Conf.: ±0.0051 (-0.0089...+0.0013) - [0.0%] Duration: 35.2 seconds |
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| 9. | Rollout4 | 13/9*(2) 9/5(2) | eq: -0.0107 (-0.0860) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.47% (G:18.03% B:1.14%) 50.53% (G:12.43% B:1.51%) | Conf.: ±0.0050 (-0.0156...-0.0057) - [0.0%] Duration: 37.0 seconds |
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| 10. | Rollout4 | 22/18(2) 11/7 6/2 | eq: -0.0137 (-0.0890) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.32% (G:8.48% B:0.46%) 50.68% (G:7.99% B:0.83%) | Conf.: ±0.0040 (-0.0177...-0.0096) - [0.0%] Duration: 37.9 seconds |
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| 11. | Rollout4 | 22/18 13/9*(2) 6/2 | eq: -0.0170 (-0.0923) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.15% (G:17.81% B:1.58%) 50.85% (G:14.81% B:1.86%) | Conf.: ±0.0051 (-0.0221...-0.0119) - [0.0%] Duration: 38.8 seconds |
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| 12. | Rollout4 | 13/9*(2) 6/2(2) | eq: -0.0171 (-0.0924) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.15% (G:18.47% B:0.93%) 50.85% (G:12.33% B:1.26%) | Conf.: ±0.0049 (-0.0219...-0.0122) - [0.0%] Duration: 35.0 seconds |
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| 13. | Rollout4 | 13/9*(2) 8/4 6/2 | eq: -0.0295 (-0.1048) |
| Player: Opponent: | 48.53% (G:18.95% B:1.63%) 51.47% (G:14.96% B:1.70%) | Conf.: ±0.0050 (-0.0345...-0.0245) - [0.0%] Duration: 36.8 seconds |
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| 14. | Rollout4 | 11/7 8/4(2) 6/2 | eq: -0.0591 (-0.1345) |
| Player: Opponent: | 47.04% (G:15.18% B:0.70%) 52.96% (G:10.83% B:0.95%) | Conf.: ±0.0045 (-0.0636...-0.0547) - [0.0%] Duration: 33.1 seconds |
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| 15. | Rollout4 | 22/18(2) 6/2(2) | eq: -0.0627 (-0.1381) |
| Player: Opponent: | 46.87% (G:8.71% B:0.40%) 53.13% (G:11.22% B:1.01%) | Conf.: ±0.0043 (-0.0670...-0.0584) - [0.0%] Duration: 36.3 seconds |
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1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 25928592 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 25928592 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
3 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 25928592 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
4 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 25928592 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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