BGonline.org Forums

Rollout + variant

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 30 September 2024, at 7:34 p.m.

In Response To: Double 5's, but not from the bar (Timothy Chow)

I opted to attack, but XG says it's crazy to do anything but cover with 23/3.

I'm reminded of neilkaz's comment that the adage of prime 2 attack 1 is some of the worst BG advice ever.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 101 Unlimited Game pip: 137 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aA-BDBB---bB---b-bbAdAb-:1:-1:1:55:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 55

1.	Rollout1	23/3	eq: +0.224
	Player: Opponent: 63.89% (G:15.12% B:0.79%) 36.11% (G:9.67% B:0.13%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.216...+0.232) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 12 seconds
2.	Rollout1	23/18 8/3 7/2*(2)	eq: +0.038 (-0.186)
	Player: Opponent: 57.86% (G:16.33% B:0.53%) 42.14% (G:15.61% B:0.55%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.031...+0.044) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 49 seconds
3.	Rollout1	21/16 8/3 7/2*(2)	eq: -0.012 (-0.236)
	Player: Opponent: 55.98% (G:16.87% B:0.49%) 44.02% (G:16.85% B:0.58%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.019...-0.005) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 50 seconds
4.	Rollout1	21/11 13/3	eq: -0.017 (-0.241)
	Player: Opponent: 56.99% (G:13.37% B:0.75%) 43.01% (G:16.44% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.026...-0.008) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 01 second
5.	Rollout1	13/3 7/2*(2)	eq: -0.078 (-0.302)
	Player: Opponent: 53.47% (G:15.46% B:0.46%) 46.53% (G:13.73% B:0.65%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.084...-0.071) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 54 seconds
6.	Rollout1	23/13 21/11	eq: -0.094 (-0.318)
	Player: Opponent: 56.32% (G:6.12% B:0.22%) 43.68% (G:13.70% B:0.10%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.100...-0.087) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 24 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62908879 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---

Variant:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 122 Unlimited Game pip: 137 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aaA-BDBB---bB---b-bbAcAb-:1:-1:1:55:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 55

1.	Rollout1	23/3	eq: +0.467
	Player: Opponent: 71.02% (G:21.67% B:1.55%) 28.98% (G:8.46% B:0.14%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.460...+0.475) - [99.9%] Duration: 2 minutes 11 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/3 7/2*(2) 6/1*	eq: +0.450 (-0.018)
	Player: Opponent: 66.06% (G:39.25% B:0.69%) 33.94% (G:14.97% B:1.08%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.442...+0.458) - [0.1%] Duration: 1 minute 44 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62908879 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

Messages In This Thread

• Double 5's, but not from the bar
  Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 26 September 2024, at 11:56 a.m.
  • Double 5's, but not from the bar
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 26 September 2024, at 12:27 p.m.
  • Double 5's, but not from the bar
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 26 September 2024, at 4:26 p.m.
  • Rollout + variant
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 30 September 2024, at 7:34 p.m.