Again, not a lot of equity on the line here. I get dinged a lot for failing to hit on the ace point - a habit from the old days when making the ace point was considered a faux pas.
Here, hitting unstacks the six point and takes half her roll away while still offering the chance to hit her homeboard blot, so it's a plausible play. But the simple running play is the bot choice.
           
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 140 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 169
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a---BD-Ca--cB---ccbAABb--:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 31 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/9* | eq: -0.095 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.69% (G:14.49% B:0.60%)
51.31% (G:18.04% B:0.97%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.111...-0.079) - [96.4%]
Duration: 7 minutes 59 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 21/20 8/5 | eq: -0.116 (-0.020) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.68% (G:13.41% B:0.42%)
53.32% (G:12.27% B:0.43%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.129...-0.102) - [2.9%]
Duration: 7 minutes 46 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 21/20 6/3 | eq: -0.122 (-0.027) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.41% (G:12.39% B:0.45%)
52.59% (G:14.18% B:0.48%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.138...-0.107) - [0.7%]
Duration: 8 minutes 35 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10