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PotD 10/9/24 - Cubing from a backgame!? - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 24 October 2024, at 9:26 p.m.

In Response To: PotD 10/9/24 - Cubing from a backgame!? (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 155
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 175
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa--BBBB-A--cA--ac-dbBBA--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.78% (G:24.80% B:1.79%) 66.05% (G:25.23% B:1.79%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.22% (G:9.80% B:0.45%) 33.95% (G:9.94% B:0.44%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.479 +0.975
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.736±0.009 (+0.727..+0.744)
Double/Take:+0.712 (-0.023)±0.011 (+0.701..+0.724)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.264)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 7.5%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:99.9%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 minutes 14 seconds

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