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PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough? - Rollout = MLS

Posted By: colin owen
Date: Tuesday, 29 October 2024, at 8:08 a.m.

In Response To: PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough? - Rollout = MLS (Stick)

Jacoby makes the difference (as John suggested):

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 121 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 127 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BaBBBB----bC--cc-bB-bb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	60.791% (G:20.301% B:0.233%)	61.278% (G:20.901% B:0.313%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	39.209% (G:5.053% B:0.185%)	38.722% (G:5.295% B:0.206%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.3688	+0.7654
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.4458 (-0.0052)	±0.0018 (+0.4441..+0.4476)
Double/Take:	+0.4511	±0.0026 (+0.4485..+0.4537)
Double/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.5489)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 63473896 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		99.9%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 03 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 121 Unlimited Game Beaver pip: 127 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BaBBBB----bC--cc-bB-bb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:2:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	60.659% (G:20.802% B:0.291%)	61.253% (G:20.992% B:0.323%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	39.341% (G:5.145% B:0.187%)	38.747% (G:5.309% B:0.204%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.3708	+0.7662
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.4645	±0.0044 (+0.4601..+0.4690)
Double/Take:	+0.4514 (-0.0131)	±0.0063 (+0.4451..+0.4577)
Double/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.5355)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 2.3%
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 63473896 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 9 minutes 11 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough?
  Stick -- Saturday, 26 October 2024, at 9:50 p.m.
  • PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough?
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 27 October 2024, at 3:48 p.m.
    • PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough?
      Bob Koca -- Sunday, 27 October 2024, at 5:50 p.m.
      • PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough?
        John O'Hagan -- Monday, 28 October 2024, at 2:27 a.m.
        • PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough?
          Bob Koca -- Monday, 28 October 2024, at 6:05 a.m.
          • PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough?
            John O'Hagan -- Monday, 28 October 2024, at 8:04 p.m.
          • PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough? - How to play [41] regardless
            Stick -- Monday, 28 October 2024, at 8:49 p.m.
  • PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough?
    ah_clem -- Monday, 28 October 2024, at 2:40 p.m.
    • PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough?
      Bob Koca -- Monday, 28 October 2024, at 4:37 p.m.
      • PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough?
        ah_clem -- Tuesday, 29 October 2024, at 1:52 a.m.
  • PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough? - Rollout = MLS
    Stick -- Tuesday, 29 October 2024, at 4:53 a.m.
    • PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough? - Rollout = MLS
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 29 October 2024, at 5:07 a.m.
      • Defining Market Crasher
        Stick -- Tuesday, 29 October 2024, at 9:20 p.m.
    • PotD 10/14/24 - Is it good enough? - Rollout = MLS
      colin owen -- Tuesday, 29 October 2024, at 8:08 a.m.