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BGonline.org Forums
Bearoff recube
Posted By: Max Stockslager In Response To: Bearoff recube (John O'Hagan)
Date: Friday, 1 November 2024, at 12:47 p.m.
I haven’t yet learned to estimate EPC for pippish positions like Blue’s so I will have to fall back on the Keith count. I expect that after I have gotten burned by the Keith count a couple more times I will be properly motivated to spend more time on EPC, but I’m not there yet.
Blue: pip count 28, Keith-wastage-adjusted count 29, Keith-adjusted money point of last take 29+(28/7-2) = 31.
White: pip count 18, Keith-wastage-adjusted pip count 27, then I always add 3 pips for the 3 extra checkers like ISIGHT, even though it is not part of the standard Keith wastage adjustment, so 30, which is 1 less than money PLT (31) so money RD/T.
ATS I believe White’s takepoint is 25%, which corresponds to subtracting 1-1.5 pips from the money PLT (using rough estimate of 2-3% higher takepoint than money divided by 2% GWC per pip, because I don’t have anything better to go off of) so I would say small pass.
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