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PotD 10/22/24 - Did I post this already? - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 6 November 2024, at 1:17 a.m.

In Response To: PotD 10/22/24 - Did I post this already? (Stick)

Luckily there's not a big difference in the top 4 plays because this one OtB is tough. I chose *3 and 8/5 wasn't really on my radar as a legit candidate. Compare to the variant below where the opponent doesn't own his 9pt and now anchoring up has more validity as we don't semi prime ourselves in.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 171
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-aaBBBBA---cC--bb-cb--AAA:1:-1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.Rollout1Bar/18eq: +0.072
Player:
Opponent:
57.73% (G:19.80% B:1.11%)
42.27% (G:11.95% B:0.70%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.067...+0.077) - [53.5%]
Duration: 7 minutes 19 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/22 7/3* eq: +0.072 (0.000)
Player:
Opponent:
56.56% (G:24.39% B:1.70%)
43.44% (G:13.39% B:0.95%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.067...+0.077) - [46.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 14 seconds
3.Rollout2Bar/21 8/5eq: +0.057 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:
56.40% (G:21.10% B:1.21%)
43.60% (G:11.66% B:0.62%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.045...+0.069) - [0.5%]
Duration: 47.4 seconds
4.Rollout2Bar/21 24/21eq: +0.047 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
56.65% (G:19.32% B:1.05%)
43.35% (G:11.08% B:0.52%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.035...+0.059) - [0.0%]
Duration: 49.1 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Variant





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 167
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-aaBBBBA---cC---c-db--AAA:1:-1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.Rollout1Bar/21 24/21eq: +0.209
Player:
Opponent:
62.01% (G:20.44% B:1.14%)
37.99% (G:9.41% B:0.42%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.199...+0.219) - [78.8%]
Duration: 48.4 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/22 7/3* eq: +0.202 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
61.03% (G:26.00% B:1.79%)
38.97% (G:12.81% B:1.06%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.190...+0.214) - [21.2%]
Duration: 48.3 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/21 8/5eq: +0.179 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
60.29% (G:22.83% B:1.33%)
39.71% (G:10.99% B:0.62%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.168...+0.191) - [0.0%]
Duration: 45.3 seconds
4.Rollout1Bar/18eq: +0.165 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:
60.77% (G:21.07% B:1.18%)
39.23% (G:11.60% B:0.75%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.153...+0.177) - [0.0%]
Duration: 50.0 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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