I'm rolling it out on 2ply now (very slow on my slow computer, but it'll get there eventually).
My gnubg 0ply rollouts had 13/3(2) winning 51.1%
and 8/3(2) 6/1(2) 50.8%
and 13/8(2) 6/1(2) 50.6%
It is difficult play though and certainly plays differently at DMP than cubeless $ play as gammons are a big part of the equity for money.
I'm trying out to see if I can post the rollout results easily, but I'll let this rollout continue as it's too short now:
The score (after 0 games) is: Madsen 0, Martens 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)
Move number 3: Martens to play 55
Pip counts: Madsen 162, Martens 167
Position ID: 4HPhASjgc/ABMA Match ID: cIk2AAAAAAAA
• Martens moves 13/3(2)
Alert: doubtful move ( +0.000)
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | R | 13/3(2) | +0.021 | ||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1357 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 33333 and quasi-random dice | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | R | 8/3(2) 6/1*(2) | +0.020 ( -0.002) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1357 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 33333 and quasi-random dice | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||