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PotD 10/27/24 - Yet another cube - Rollout Surprise?

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 14 November 2024, at 1:48 p.m.

In Response To: PotD 10/27/24 - Yet another cube (Stick)

Maybe not surprised it is a take though it does look quite treacherous from the taker's pov, the size of the take is surprising.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 165
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 125
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--bBBBBbBA--bC-a-abbab---A:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64.53% (G:29.18% B:2.16%) 64.41% (G:30.81% B:2.35%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.47% (G:5.48% B:0.22%) 35.59% (G:5.84% B:0.24%)
Cubeless Equities +0.547 +1.118
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.727 (-0.088)±0.014 (+0.713..+0.742)
Double/Take:+0.815±0.028 (+0.787..+0.843)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.185)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 56.0 seconds

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