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PotD 10/30/24 - PVP Cube - Rollout + Donkey Sayings...

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 16 November 2024, at 6:43 a.m.

In Response To: PotD 10/30/24 - PVP Cube (Stick)

What kind of moron would push the idea that all normal prime v. primes are takes?! This one does look pretty normal on the surface but there are several details that vary from the norm and they are all in the favor of the person doubling.

  • The doubler's prime is solid and easier to extend
  • The doubler has a shot on a blot that is pretty vicious if hit
  • The doubler has his back checkers split giving him more numbers to escape or anchor up than the opponent who is still locked in on the 24pt

All of this adds up to just a small pass so nothing to beat ourselves up over but still educational to see.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 135
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 142
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b--BBBBBA--aBa--bbbc-bAA-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 72.12% (G:23.12% B:1.51%) 72.31% (G:23.40% B:1.65%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 27.88% (G:8.91% B:0.50%) 27.69% (G:8.59% B:0.49%)
Cubeless Equities +0.595 +1.212
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.802 (-0.198)±0.007 (+0.796..+0.809)
Double/Take:+1.017 (+0.017)±0.010 (+1.007..+1.027)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:99.9%
Duration: 3 minutes 33 seconds

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