[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

PotD 11/6/24 - Referency II - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 29 November 2024, at 4:13 p.m.

In Response To: PotD 11/6/24 - Referency II (Stick)

Variant below.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 122
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 108
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=--ABBBBB----bB---dbcbbB---:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.46% (G:3.45% B:0.05%) 79.05% (G:3.12% B:0.06%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.54% (G:0.96% B:0.01%) 20.95% (G:0.90% B:0.02%)
Cubeless Equities +0.594 +1.207
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.974 (-0.026)±0.003 (+0.971..+0.977)
Double/Take:+1.080 (+0.080)±0.008 (+1.072..+1.088)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 18.6 seconds

Variant
White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 122
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 113
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=--ABBBBB----cB---cbcbbB---:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.86% (G:3.41% B:0.06%) 77.09% (G:3.17% B:0.06%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.14% (G:0.97% B:0.01%) 22.91% (G:0.92% B:0.02%)
Cubeless Equities +0.562 +1.130
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.949 (-0.038)±0.006 (+0.943..+0.956)
Double/Take:+0.988±0.009 (+0.978..+0.997)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.012)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:99.6%
Duration: 22.2 seconds

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.