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PotD 11/14/24 - Hit/No Hit - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 10 December 2024, at 5:48 p.m.

In Response To: PotD 11/14/24 - Hit/No Hit (Stick)

It is hard to find a time when hitting would ever be correct with a significant racing lead because the more you get ahead in the race the more you increase your winning chances. So even though your gammons go up they go up in parallel to your wins so hitting remains a blunder.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 86 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 63 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ACDBABA--aaA----a-ccbb-b-:1:-1:1:42:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 42

1.	Rollout1	12/8 7/5	eq: +0.845
	Player: Opponent: 93.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 6.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.845...+0.846) - [100.0%] Duration: 6.7 seconds
2.	Rollout1	12/6	eq: +0.834 (-0.011)
	Player: Opponent: 92.60% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 7.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.833...+0.835) - [0.0%] Duration: 6.5 seconds
3.	Rollout1	12/10* 5/1	eq: +0.721 (-0.124)
	Player: Opponent: 86.02% (G:5.10% B:0.02%) 13.98% (G:1.25% B:0.04%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.719...+0.724) - [0.0%] Duration: 5.8 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• PotD 11/14/24 - Hit/No Hit
  Stick -- Friday, 6 December 2024, at 4:36 a.m.
  • PotD 11/14/24 - Hit/No Hit
    garyo -- Friday, 6 December 2024, at 6:04 a.m.
  • PotD 11/14/24 - Hit/No Hit
    John O'Hagan -- Friday, 6 December 2024, at 1:28 p.m.
  • PotD 11/14/24 - Hit/No Hit - Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 10 December 2024, at 5:48 p.m.