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PotD 11/16/24 - Holding Game Cube - Variant

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 12 December 2024, at 7:28 a.m.

In Response To: PotD 11/16/24 - Holding Game Cube (ah_clem)

Here's a rollout of your suggested variant. Note in such positions (20pt anchor) we have to be very careful when we're significantly down in the race (a roll of double sixes or more) and the opponent has his bar point made.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 134
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 113
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=----BBD-B-A-cB---dbdB--b--:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 77.59% (G:1.93% B:0.03%) 77.91% (G:1.65% B:0.03%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 22.41% (G:1.10% B:0.03%) 22.09% (G:1.06% B:0.04%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.560 +1.128
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.940 (-0.060)±0.007 (+0.932..+0.947)
Double/Take:+1.012 (+0.012)±0.009 (+1.003..+1.021)
Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:99.4%
Duration: 51.3 seconds

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