[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

PotD 11/19/24 - Unusual Cube - Rollout, a pip!

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 15 December 2024, at 12:52 a.m.

In Response To: PotD 11/19/24 - Unusual Cube (Stick)

Crazy sometimes what a difference a seemingly innocent movement of one pip can make. See the one pip variant below.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-bBb-aEE---------AAbbbbaaA:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.98% (G:36.77% B:1.49%) 69.19% (G:39.25% B:2.10%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.02% (G:9.90% B:0.57%) 30.81% (G:9.83% B:0.78%)
Cubeless Equities +0.638 +1.382
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.643 (-0.357)±0.010 (+0.633..+0.653)
Double/Take:+1.152 (+0.152)±0.022 (+1.130..+1.173)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 32.9 seconds

Variant
White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 152
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-bBba-EE---------AAbbbbaaA:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 66.27% (G:35.02% B:1.43%) 66.75% (G:37.06% B:2.13%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.73% (G:10.90% B:0.81%) 33.25% (G:10.42% B:0.84%)
Cubeless Equities +0.573 +1.229
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.601 (-0.366)±0.012 (+0.589..+0.613)
Double/Take:+0.968±0.022 (+0.945..+0.990)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.032)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:99.8%
Duration: 37.8 seconds

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.