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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 12 July 2008, at 5:39 p.m.

In Response To: Neil v. Stick Finals #5 (Stick)

A lot of these rollout are so close that 1296 games isn't even making a dent of certainty into the best play. The variance is still sky high compared to the difference in the plays & I will be extending a lot of them to 5k (though probably not farther) For now though I will post the 1k rollouts and be happy my play is still barely on top.

The score (after 0 games) is: Neil_Kazaross 0, Stick_Rice 0 (match to 13 points)

Move number 10: Stick_Rice to play 26

Neil_Kazaross	134
Stick_Rice	177
Position ID: GufBEQTgc2TAQg Match ID: cAm5AQAAAAAA

• Stick_Rice moves bar/23* 21/15

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	bar/23* 21/15	-0.2755
			0.4367 0.1032 0.0043 - 0.5633 0.1669 0.0079 -0.1968 -0.2755 0.0020 0.0016 0.0004 - 0.0020 0.0021 0.0005 0.0051 0.0137
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1210 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 827851321 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	bar/23* 11/5	-0.2839 ( -0.0083)
			0.4378 0.1076 0.0041 - 0.5622 0.1697 0.0064 -0.1910 -0.2839 0.0020 0.0018 0.0003 - 0.0020 0.0021 0.0005 0.0052 0.0129
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1209 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 827851321 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Neil v. Stick Finals #5
  Stick -- Friday, 11 July 2008, at 7:56 a.m.
  • Neil v. Stick Finals #5
    Mislav Radica -- Friday, 11 July 2008, at 10:41 a.m.
  • Neil v. Stick Finals #5
    Philippe Michel -- Friday, 11 July 2008, at 7:34 p.m.
  • Neil v. Stick Finals #5
    misja -- Friday, 11 July 2008, at 8:56 p.m.
  • Neil v. Stick Finals #5
    neilkaz -- Friday, 11 July 2008, at 10:41 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Saturday, 12 July 2008, at 5:39 p.m.