Check under the original position for a no contact race of equal length to give us a better idea of how much the contact is worth. Holding a point four pips away from the one needed to clear isn't worth as much as it might appear to be. It's rather easy to eventually clear the point that needs to be cleared.
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| XGID=----BCCBA---bB--Bcaf-ab---:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 78.87% (G:1.21% B:0.01%) | 78.76% (G:0.87% B:0.01%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 21.13% (G:0.53% B:0.01%) | 21.24% (G:0.57% B:0.02%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.584 | +1.156 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | +0.922 (-0.078) | ±0.007 (+0.915..+0.930) |
| Double/Take: | +1.043 (+0.043) | ±0.012 (+1.031..+1.055) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 | |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 29.0 seconds | ||
No Contact Race
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| XGID=----ABCAABABB--bbabdca----:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 84.80% (G:0.02% B:0.00%) | 84.87% (G:0.02% B:0.00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 15.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 15.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.696 | +1.395 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | +0.964 (-0.036) | ±0.001 (+0.962..+0.965) |
| Double/Take: | +1.302 (+0.302) | ±0.003 (+1.299..+1.305) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 | |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 35.6 seconds | ||