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PotD 11/26/24 - Options - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 6 January 2025, at 6:42 a.m.

In Response To: PotD 11/26/24 - Options (Stick)

Often the position I post is a derivative of the original position and this is no exception. How that normally comes about is I'll see some candidate plays, make my choice, and then wonder how I can change the position to make the other candidates come out ahead. This position for example will have what I call a more normal looking play correct if we don't litter the opponent's outfield with blots as I did here.

Below I've also included the dmp rollout for John.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 159 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 144 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa-BA-CCA---cC-aac-cb---B-:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.	Rollout1	7/4 6/1*	eq: +0.239
	Player: Opponent: 57.99% (G:35.28% B:3.66%) 42.01% (G:12.65% B:0.91%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.230...+0.247) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 02 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/8 7/4	eq: +0.211 (-0.028)
	Player: Opponent: 58.29% (G:31.11% B:2.75%) 41.71% (G:11.26% B:0.70%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.203...+0.219) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 49 seconds
3.	Rollout2	6/1* 4/1	eq: +0.198 (-0.041)
	Player: Opponent: 56.23% (G:36.14% B:3.27%) 43.77% (G:12.95% B:0.80%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.188...+0.208) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 05 seconds
4.	Rollout2	24/16*	eq: +0.155 (-0.083)
	Player: Opponent: 57.63% (G:27.72% B:3.27%) 42.37% (G:11.99% B:0.85%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.143...+0.167) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 17 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

---

DMP

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 159 1 point match pip: 144 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa-BA-CCA---cC-aac-cb---B-:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 53

1.	Rollout1	13/8 7/4	eq: +0.152
	Player: Opponent: 57.60% (G:34.47% B:6.87%) 42.40% (G:10.83% B:1.48%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.149...+0.155) - [68.3%] Duration: 2 minutes 32 seconds
2.	Rollout1	7/4 6/1*	eq: +0.151 (-0.001)
	Player: Opponent: 57.55% (G:38.13% B:5.17%) 42.45% (G:12.58% B:2.08%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.148...+0.154) - [31.7%] Duration: 2 minutes 45 seconds
3.	Rollout2	24/16*	eq: +0.133 (-0.019)
	Player: Opponent: 56.65% (G:32.17% B:9.29%) 43.35% (G:12.49% B:2.13%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.126...+0.140) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 06 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• PotD 11/26/24 - Options
  Stick -- Thursday, 2 January 2025, at 10:39 p.m.
  • PotD 11/26/24 - Options
    ah_clem -- Friday, 3 January 2025, at 12:44 a.m.
  • PotD 11/26/24 - Options
    John O'Hagan -- Friday, 3 January 2025, at 8:52 p.m.
  • PotD 11/26/24 - Options - Rollout
    Stick -- Monday, 6 January 2025, at 6:42 a.m.