54S/22N/21 Rollout Results

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54S/22N/21 Rollout Results

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Friday, 21 February 2025, at 1:32 p.m.

In Response To: 54S/22N/21 (Paul Weaver)

I am posting the XG ++ evals first to show you the big differences between these and the rollout results. Scroll down to see the rollout results.

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-b----E-D---cDb--c-cAb--A-:0:0:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 21

1. XG Roller++ 13/11 6/5 eq: -0.506
Player:
Opponent: 39.18% (G:9.96% B:0.51%)
60.82% (G:23.30% B:1.79%)
2. XG Roller++ 24/23 6/4 eq: -0.522 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent: 38.10% (G:9.17% B:0.43%)
61.90% (G:22.13% B:1.24%)
3. XG Roller++ 24/23 13/11 eq: -0.525 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent: 38.06% (G:9.55% B:0.45%)
61.94% (G:20.65% B:1.05%)
4. XG Roller++ 24/23 20/18 eq: -0.530 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent: 38.30% (G:9.07% B:0.44%)
61.70% (G:21.19% B:0.89%)
5. XG Roller++ 13/10 eq: -0.531 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent: 38.22% (G:9.98% B:0.52%)
61.78% (G:21.91% B:1.19%)
6. XG Roller++ 13/11 8/7 eq: -0.545 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent: 37.54% (G:8.97% B:0.39%)
62.46% (G:22.97% B:1.88%)
7. XG Roller++ 24/22 8/7 eq: -0.557 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent: 37.18% (G:8.38% B:0.34%)
62.82% (G:21.73% B:1.20%)
8. XG Roller++ 20/18 6/5 eq: -0.570 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent: 38.55% (G:8.76% B:0.40%)
61.45% (G:24.51% B:1.47%)
9. XG Roller++ 24/23 8/6 eq: -0.583 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent: 36.73% (G:9.17% B:0.44%)
63.27% (G:21.12% B:0.91%)
10. XG Roller++ 8/7 6/4 eq: -0.589 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent: 37.39% (G:8.51% B:0.34%)
62.61% (G:24.31% B:1.95%)
11. XG Roller++ 20/18 8/7 eq: -0.592 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent: 36.98% (G:8.04% B:0.34%)
63.02% (G:22.30% B:1.30%)
12. XG Roller++ 8/5 eq: -0.596 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent: 37.01% (G:8.93% B:0.44%)
62.99% (G:23.70% B:1.51%)
13. XG Roller++ 6/3 eq: -0.635 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent: 36.38% (G:8.48% B:0.41%)
63.62% (G:24.41% B:1.59%)
14. XG Roller++ 24/22 6/5 eq: -0.645 (-0.139)
Player:
Opponent: 36.71% (G:8.29% B:0.40%)
63.29% (G:25.40% B:1.48%)
15. XG Roller++ 8/7 8/6 eq: -0.647 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent: 35.13% (G:8.10% B:0.31%)
64.87% (G:22.11% B:1.39%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Note how well 13/11 8/7 performs in the rollout compared to its standing in the ++ eval.

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-b----E-D---cDb--c-cAb--A-:0:0:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 21

1. Rollout¹ 13/11 6/5 eq: -0.512
Player:
Opponent: 38.97% (G:10.17% B:0.54%)
61.03% (G:23.42% B:1.84%) Conf.: � 0.003 (-0.515...-0.510) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 48 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 13/11 8/7 eq: -0.523 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent: 37.56% (G:9.49% B:0.45%)
62.44% (G:23.69% B:2.13%) Conf.: � 0.004 (-0.527...-0.519) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 52 minutes
3. Rollout² 24/23 6/4 eq: -0.530 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent: 38.03% (G:9.43% B:0.47%)
61.97% (G:22.22% B:1.27%) Conf.: � 0.005 (-0.535...-0.525) - [0.0%]
Duration: 48 minutes 49 seconds
4. Rollout² 24/23 13/11 eq: -0.533 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent: 37.91% (G:9.87% B:0.48%)
62.09% (G:20.61% B:1.14%) Conf.: � 0.005 (-0.539...-0.528) - [0.0%]
Duration: 49 minutes 22 seconds
5. Rollout² 13/10 eq: -0.538 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent: 38.13% (G:10.27% B:0.57%)
61.87% (G:21.98% B:1.23%) Conf.: � 0.006 (-0.544...-0.532) - [0.0%]
Duration: 51 minutes 02 seconds
6. Rollout² 24/23 20/18 eq: -0.539 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent: 38.21% (G:9.46% B:0.50%)
61.79% (G:21.73% B:0.95%) Conf.: � 0.006 (-0.545...-0.533) - [0.0%]
Duration: 56 minutes 05 seconds
7. Rollout³ 24/22 8/7 eq: -0.557 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent: 37.19% (G:8.59% B:0.42%)
62.81% (G:22.11% B:1.30%) Conf.: � 0.017 (-0.574...-0.540) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 46 seconds
8. Rollout³ 20/18 6/5 eq: -0.564 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent: 38.39% (G:9.17% B:0.48%)
61.61% (G:24.56% B:1.40%) Conf.: � 0.019 (-0.583...-0.545) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 47 seconds
9. Rollout³ 24/23 8/6 eq: -0.581 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent: 36.75% (G:9.62% B:0.52%)
63.25% (G:21.39% B:1.02%) Conf.: � 0.019 (-0.600...-0.563) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 39 seconds
10. Rollout³ 8/7 6/4 eq: -0.589 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent: 37.23% (G:9.28% B:0.44%)
62.77% (G:25.44% B:2.27%) Conf.: � 0.025 (-0.614...-0.563) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 50 seconds
11. Rollout⁴ 20/18 8/7 eq: -0.598 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent: 36.97% (G:8.19% B:0.34%)
63.03% (G:22.59% B:1.35%) Conf.: � 0.017 (-0.615...-0.580) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 57 seconds

¹ 41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

³ 723 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

⁴ 722 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

54S/22N/21
Paul Weaver -- Thursday, 20 February 2025, at 4:20 a.m.
- 54S/22N/21
  John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 20 February 2025, at 2:31 p.m.
  - 54S/22N/21
    Stick -- Thursday, 20 February 2025, at 7:47 p.m.
- 54S/22N/21 Rollout Results
  Paul Weaver -- Friday, 21 February 2025, at 1:32 p.m.
- 54S/22N/21 Gammon Save Rollout Results
  Paul Weaver -- Friday, 21 February 2025, at 7:52 p.m.

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