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Position of the Day 02-25-25 - From Havana - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 9 March 2025, at 1:07 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 02-25-25 - From Havana (Stick)

Reflexively similar to John when XG snatched up this cube I was one second surprised. Giving it a longer, lingering thought it makes some sense. If only I knew a guy who wrote the book on holding games maybe I'd be better at these.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 115
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B-BDbBbB-cC-----d-bb---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 74.40% (G:6.46% B:0.12%) 74.44% (G:6.34% B:0.13%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 25.60% (G:2.08% B:0.07%) 25.56% (G:2.10% B:0.08%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.532 +1.063
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.875 (-0.040)±0.012 (+0.863..+0.887)
Double/Take:+0.914±0.013 (+0.901..+0.927)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.086)
 
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 56.9 seconds

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