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Position of the Day 03-11-25 - Take the money and run? - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 27 March 2025, at 11:29 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-11-25 - Take the money and run? (Stick)

John made a strong effort to break down the win/gammon difference between the plays. It just goes to show how hard something like that is. That's why I promote when you know it's the 'clear' dmp play we make that play. It's very hard for a play's gammons to overcome its wins when the wins are obviously significant. It makes sense that the win difference is so large as getting hit immediately is absolutely brutal and we are hit 1/9 of the time instead of 0% of the time.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 107
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 104
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--AbBCCCB----a----abbcbbA-:1:-1:1:66:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 66

1.Rollout124/18* 18/12 8/2(2)eq: +0.779
Player:
Opponent:		84.28% (G:14.91% B:0.14%)
15.72% (G:0.61% B:0.02%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.774...+0.784) - [100.0%]
Duration: 20.7 seconds
2.Rollout124/18* 8/2 7/1(2)eq: +0.696 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		73.93% (G:35.75% B:0.72%)
26.07% (G:5.72% B:0.36%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.691...+0.701) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20.2 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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