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Position of the Day 03-13-25 - Backgame Cube - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 28 March 2025, at 11:07 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-13-25 - Backgame Cube (Stick)

I think OtB everyone casually takes this cube. We can see the potential issues though ... a disjointed position with too many men behind a solid five prime. Getting more men sent back to help our timing as we're only down 20+ pips right now leaves us in desperate need of sixes as we have nothing really to play on the board otherwise.

Who knows if a stronger rollout would swing the results a bit equity wise but I am in agreement with the bottom line. Too tough to take, should let it go.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 181
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=aa-ABBBb-----B-AbbbbcCB---:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 70.17% (G:29.30% B:1.09%) 70.76% (G:30.45% B:1.18%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.83% (G:6.76% B:0.40%) 29.24% (G:6.67% B:0.38%)
Cubeless Equities +0.636 +1.322
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.942 (-0.058)±0.011 (+0.931..+0.953)
Redouble/Take:+1.100 (+0.100)±0.026 (+1.074..+1.127)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 15 seconds

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