I figured this position would catch nearly everyone out. Our spares on our lower points are an underappreciated problem. See variant below where I brought the worst one back to life.
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| XGID=-bCCaCCB--a-a----bbbbb-A--:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 78.08% (G:13.52% B:0.39%) | 79.54% (G:15.12% B:0.62%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 21.92% (G:8.19% B:0.81%) | 20.46% (G:7.58% B:0.75%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.611 | +1.330 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | +0.903 (-0.097) | ±0.010 (+0.893..+0.912) |
| Double/Take: | +1.226 (+0.226) | ±0.016 (+1.210..+1.241) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 | |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 30.3 seconds | ||
Variant
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| XGID=-bBCaCDB--a-a----bbbbb-A--:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 75.17% (G:12.21% B:0.37%) | 76.22% (G:13.81% B:0.57%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 24.83% (G:9.55% B:1.03%) | 23.78% (G:9.15% B:0.97%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.523 | +1.134 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | +0.836 (-0.164) | ±0.006 (+0.830..+0.842) |
| Double/Take: | +1.014 (+0.014) | ±0.009 (+1.005..+1.022) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 | |
| Best Cube action: Double / Pass | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 99.9% | |
| Duration: 2 minutes 26 seconds | ||