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Position of the Day 03-25-25 - Early Game [61] - Long rollout

Posted By: Colin Owen
Date: Wednesday, 23 April 2025, at 6:58 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-25-25 - Early Game [61] - Rollout!! (Stick)

The top two plays are closer here, but the wierd play is now almost surely best.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 143
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 146
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BEBA-A-cBb--d-c-b--B-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.Rollout18/2 6/5eq: -0.3343
Player:
Opponent:		40.95% (G:14.25% B:0.43%)
59.05% (G:16.79% B:1.30%)		Conf.: ±0.0025 (-0.3369...-0.3318) - [99.8%]
Duration: 45 minutes 34 seconds
2.Rollout124/18 8/7eq: -0.3395 (-0.0052)
Player:
Opponent:		41.46% (G:12.29% B:0.50%)
58.54% (G:17.80% B:0.96%)		Conf.: ±0.0025 (-0.3420...-0.3370) - [0.2%]
Duration: 49 minutes 10 seconds
3.Rollout224/18 6/5eq: -0.3497 (-0.0154)
Player:
Opponent:		41.69% (G:12.56% B:0.56%)
58.31% (G:19.66% B:1.35%)		Conf.: ±0.0068 (-0.3565...-0.3429) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 38 seconds
4.Rollout210/4 6/5eq: -0.3515 (-0.0172)
Player:
Opponent:		41.01% (G:13.21% B:0.43%)
58.99% (G:16.94% B:1.36%)		Conf.: ±0.0067 (-0.3582...-0.3447) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 10 seconds
5.Rollout310/4 8/7eq: -0.3682 (-0.0339)
Player:
Opponent:		39.79% (G:12.87% B:0.41%)
60.21% (G:15.65% B:1.03%)		Conf.: ±0.0145 (-0.3827...-0.3538) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 18 seconds
6.Rollout38/1* eq: -0.3977 (-0.0634)
Player:
Opponent:		39.34% (G:13.09% B:0.36%)
60.66% (G:16.08% B:1.21%)		Conf.: ±0.0162 (-0.4139...-0.3815) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 19 seconds
7.Rollout313/7 6/5eq: -0.4009 (-0.0666)
Player:
Opponent:		39.66% (G:13.11% B:0.49%)
60.34% (G:16.88% B:1.43%)		Conf.: ±0.0143 (-0.4152...-0.3865) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 06 seconds
8.Rollout324/23 8/2eq: -0.4242 (-0.0899)
Player:
Opponent:		39.15% (G:12.28% B:0.40%)
60.85% (G:18.46% B:1.35%)		Conf.: ±0.0158 (-0.4400...-0.4084) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 28 seconds
9.Rollout310/4 5/4eq: -0.4515 (-0.1172)
Player:
Opponent:		38.42% (G:11.93% B:0.41%)
61.58% (G:17.33% B:1.34%)		Conf.: ±0.0158 (-0.4673...-0.4357) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 51 seconds
10.Rollout424/18 10/9eq: -0.4531 (-0.1188)
Player:
Opponent:		39.01% (G:11.07% B:0.48%)
60.99% (G:19.88% B:1.30%)		Conf.: ±0.0226 (-0.4757...-0.4305) - [0.0%]
Duration: 58.8 seconds
11.Rollout313/7 8/7eq: -0.4532 (-0.1189)
Player:
Opponent:		37.92% (G:11.70% B:0.39%)
62.08% (G:15.36% B:1.12%)		Conf.: ±0.0152 (-0.4684...-0.4380) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 04 seconds
12.Rollout324/23 10/4eq: -0.4637 (-0.1294)
Player:
Opponent:		38.90% (G:11.85% B:0.47%)
61.10% (G:19.57% B:1.48%)		Conf.: ±0.0136 (-0.4773...-0.4501) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 34 seconds
13.Rollout324/23 24/18eq: -0.4721 (-0.1378)
Player:
Opponent:		39.17% (G:11.18% B:0.52%)
60.83% (G:21.29% B:1.57%)		Conf.: ±0.0167 (-0.4888...-0.4554) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 30 seconds
14.Rollout324/23 13/7eq: -0.4795 (-0.1451)
Player:
Opponent:		37.69% (G:11.47% B:0.47%)
62.31% (G:17.98% B:1.44%)		Conf.: ±0.0134 (-0.4928...-0.4661) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 27 seconds
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 70300349
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 70300349
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 70300349
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

4 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 70300349
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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