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Position of the Day 03-26-25 - [32] to Play - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 29 April 2025, at 5:48 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-26-25 - [32] to Play (Stick)

See variant where the opp's ace point blot is lifted naturally to his 6pt. I thought, as XG did on its lower level analysis, that this would make the safer play correct. Slotting still in the lead though.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 119
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 147
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b---BDBB-A-bA----bbCbbba-:2:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout113/10 6/4eq: +0.440
Player:
Opponent:
71.07% (G:20.19% B:1.04%)
28.93% (G:10.15% B:0.15%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.435...+0.446) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 22 seconds
2.Rollout113/11 10/7eq: +0.420 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
69.38% (G:20.28% B:1.03%)
30.62% (G:7.49% B:0.14%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.415...+0.425) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 10 seconds
3.Rollout213/8eq: +0.416 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
69.41% (G:20.41% B:1.08%)
30.59% (G:8.27% B:0.14%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.408...+0.424) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23.3 seconds
 
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Variant





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 124
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 147
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b---BDBB-A-bA----bcCbbb--:2:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout113/10 6/4eq: +0.338
Player:
Opponent:
67.97% (G:17.95% B:0.81%)
32.03% (G:10.46% B:0.20%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.333...+0.343) - [99.1%]
Duration: 2 minutes 04 seconds
2.Rollout113/11 10/7eq: +0.330 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:
66.56% (G:18.08% B:0.74%)
33.44% (G:7.34% B:0.15%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.326...+0.334) - [0.9%]
Duration: 1 minute 45 seconds
3.Rollout213/8eq: +0.309 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
66.01% (G:18.31% B:0.79%)
33.99% (G:8.03% B:0.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.300...+0.318) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24.7 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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