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Position of the Day 03-26-25 - [32] to Play - Rollout
Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 29 April 2025, at 5:48 p.m.
In Response To: Position of the Day 03-26-25 - [32] to Play (Stick)
See variant where the opp's ace point blot is lifted naturally to his 6pt. I thought, as XG did on its lower level analysis, that this would make the safer play correct. Slotting still in the lead though.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 119 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 147 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-b---BDBB-A-bA----bbCbbba-:2:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 32 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/10 6/4 | eq: +0.440 |
| Player: Opponent: | 71.07% (G:20.19% B:1.04%) 28.93% (G:10.15% B:0.15%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.435...+0.446) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 22 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/11 10/7 | eq: +0.420 (-0.020) |
| Player: Opponent: | 69.38% (G:20.28% B:1.03%) 30.62% (G:7.49% B:0.14%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.415...+0.425) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 10 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 13/8 | eq: +0.416 (-0.024) |
| Player: Opponent: | 69.41% (G:20.41% B:1.08%) 30.59% (G:8.27% B:0.14%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.408...+0.424) - [0.0%] Duration: 23.3 seconds |
|
| |
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Variant

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 124 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 147 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-b---BDBB-A-bA----bcCbbb--:2:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 32 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/10 6/4 | eq: +0.338 |
| Player: Opponent: | 67.97% (G:17.95% B:0.81%) 32.03% (G:10.46% B:0.20%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.333...+0.343) - [99.1%] Duration: 2 minutes 04 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/11 10/7 | eq: +0.330 (-0.008) |
| Player: Opponent: | 66.56% (G:18.08% B:0.74%) 33.44% (G:7.34% B:0.15%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.326...+0.334) - [0.9%] Duration: 1 minute 45 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 13/8 | eq: +0.309 (-0.029) |
| Player: Opponent: | 66.01% (G:18.31% B:0.79%) 33.99% (G:8.03% B:0.16%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.300...+0.318) - [0.0%] Duration: 24.7 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
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