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DQ: Is slotting the 5 point worth the risk? *RollOut*

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Friday, 2 May 2025, at 3:54 p.m.

In Response To: DQ: Is slotting the 5 point worth the risk? (leobueno)

XG++ had the top play at 0.23 better. The rollout says Stick was dead-on, nothing close.





White is mrbg101

score: 4
pip: 162
7 point match
pip: 160
score: 5

Blue is leobueno
XGID=-b----E-D---dD---d-e--A-A-:0:0:1:21:5:4:0:7:10
Blue to play 21

1.Rollout124/22 6/5eq: -0.115
Player:
Opponent:
50.87% (G:14.87% B:1.51%)
49.13% (G:11.61% B:1.29%)
Conf.: ± 0.021 (-0.136...-0.094) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 37 seconds
2.Rollout124/22 8/7eq: -0.234 (-0.119)
Player:
Opponent:
48.49% (G:14.70% B:1.53%)
51.51% (G:12.52% B:1.77%)
Conf.: ± 0.021 (-0.255...-0.213) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 36 seconds
3.Rollout122/21 13/11eq: -0.240 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:
49.49% (G:16.04% B:1.85%)
50.51% (G:14.71% B:1.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.021 (-0.261...-0.218) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 27 seconds
4.Rollout124/23 13/11eq: -0.247 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:
48.88% (G:15.00% B:1.86%)
51.12% (G:14.30% B:1.47%)
Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.268...-0.227) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 38 seconds
5.Rollout124/23 22/20eq: -0.266 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:
48.83% (G:14.90% B:1.97%)
51.17% (G:14.78% B:1.35%)
Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.286...-0.245) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 08 seconds
6.Rollout113/11 6/5eq: -0.273 (-0.158)
Player:
Opponent:
48.90% (G:14.90% B:2.02%)
51.10% (G:16.01% B:2.44%)
Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.293...-0.253) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 30 seconds
7.Rollout124/21eq: -0.279 (-0.164)
Player:
Opponent:
48.65% (G:14.92% B:1.52%)
51.35% (G:15.12% B:0.97%)
Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.298...-0.260) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 08 seconds
8.Rollout122/20 6/5eq: -0.294 (-0.179)
Player:
Opponent:
48.17% (G:14.54% B:1.25%)
51.83% (G:15.06% B:1.43%)
Conf.: ± 0.024 (-0.318...-0.270) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 32 seconds
9.Rollout113/10eq: -0.301 (-0.186)
Player:
Opponent:
48.23% (G:16.31% B:2.02%)
51.77% (G:15.29% B:2.03%)
Conf.: ± 0.022 (-0.323...-0.279) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 32 seconds
1 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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