
              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 156 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 160 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-a-a--EBB---cD--ad-e----B-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10 |
Money |
1. | Rollout1 | 24/16* 13/9(2) | eq: +0.683 |
| Player: Opponent: | 66.05% (G:18.69% B:1.04%) 33.95% (G:7.80% B:0.29%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.674...+0.692) - [100.0%] Duration: 41 minutes 57 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 24/16* 7/3*(2) | eq: +0.641 (-0.043) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.33% (G:24.69% B:1.69%) 36.67% (G:8.68% B:0.37%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.633...+0.649) - [0.0%] Duration: 31 minutes 32 seconds |
|
3. | Rollout1 | 24/16*(2) | eq: +0.627 (-0.056) |
| Player: Opponent: | 66.26% (G:13.82% B:0.70%) 33.74% (G:7.17% B:0.22%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.619...+0.635) - [0.0%] Duration: 42 minutes 45 seconds |
|
4. | Rollout1 | 24/20(2) 13/9(2) | eq: +0.581 (-0.103) |
| Player: Opponent: | 64.22% (G:15.83% B:0.54%) 35.78% (G:6.33% B:0.22%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.572...+0.589) - [0.0%] Duration: 34 minutes 38 seconds |
|
|
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 10753169 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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This is the earliest-game (fourth roll) R4 (real four-score position) that has ever been discovered. The best plays at all four main scores prevail by a clear margin. None of the second-best plays are "tied" (by the B/W error scale). For DMP, the relevant threshold is .0045.
Stick recently posted Money and DMP rollouts. Here I am posting my own rollouts, to 5k, and at each of the four main scores. Money is above; the other three scores are below. First, here is a summary:
---------------------------------------------------------
Money ....B (24/16* 13/9(2)) is best.
DMP ..... R (24/16*(2)) is best.
GS ...... b (24/20(2) 13/9(2)) is best.
GG ...... C (24/16* 7/3*(2)) is best.
---------------------------------------------------------
Nack

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 156 | 1 point match | pip: 160 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-a-a--EBB---cD--ad-e----B-:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:1:10 |
DMP |
1. | Rollout1 | 24/16*(2) | eq: +0.305 |
| Player: Opponent: | 65.27% (G:21.37% B:2.63%) 34.73% (G:7.40% B:0.62%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.304...+0.306) - [100.0%] Duration: 3 hours 57 minutes |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 24/16* 13/9(2) | eq: +0.298 (-0.008) |
| Player: Opponent: | 64.89% (G:25.99% B:4.08%) 35.11% (G:8.50% B:0.91%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.296...+0.299) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 hours 28 minutes |
|
3. | Rollout2 | 24/20(2) 13/9(2) | eq: +0.282 (-0.023) |
| Player: Opponent: | 64.11% (G:18.17% B:1.87%) 35.89% (G:7.60% B:0.63%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.280...+0.285) - [0.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 29 seconds |
|
4. | Rollout2 | 24/16* 7/3*(2) | eq: +0.243 (-0.063) |
| Player: Opponent: | 62.13% (G:30.94% B:6.85%) 37.87% (G:8.64% B:1.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.240...+0.246) - [0.0%] Duration: 31 minutes 17 seconds |
|
|
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 66697302 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 66697302 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 156 | 2 point match Crawford | pip: 160 score: 1
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-a-a--EBB---cD--ad-e----B-:0:0:1:44:1:0:1:2:10 |
Gammon Save |
1. | Rollout1 | 24/20(2) 13/9(2) | eq: +0.160 |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.51% (G:18.11% B:1.63%) 36.49% (G:5.52% B:0.35%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.158...+0.162) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 22 minutes |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 24/16*(2) | eq: +0.147 (-0.013) |
| Player: Opponent: | 65.52% (G:22.81% B:2.93%) 34.48% (G:8.17% B:0.42%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.144...+0.150) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 35 minutes |
|
3. | Rollout2 | 24/16* 13/9(2) | eq: +0.125 (-0.035) |
| Player: Opponent: | 64.72% (G:26.57% B:4.08%) 35.28% (G:8.46% B:0.62%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.121...+0.129) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 14 minutes |
|
4. | Rollout2 | 24/16* 7/3*(2) | eq: +0.052 (-0.107) |
| Player: Opponent: | 62.21% (G:31.33% B:7.06%) 37.79% (G:9.59% B:0.73%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.048...+0.057) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 08 minutes |
|
|
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 10753169 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 10753169 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 1 pip: 156 | 2 point match Crawford | pip: 160 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-a-a--EBB---cD--ad-e----B-:0:0:1:44:0:1:1:2:10 |
Gammon Go |
1. | Rollout1 | 24/16* 7/3*(2) | eq: +0.746 |
| Player: Opponent: | 64.49% (G:22.83% B:3.89%) 35.51% (G:8.20% B:1.05%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.742...+0.750) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 51 minutes |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 8/4(2) 7/3*(2) | eq: +0.716 (-0.031) |
| Player: Opponent: | 61.25% (G:24.52% B:3.04%) 38.75% (G:10.43% B:1.20%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.712...+0.720) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 30 minutes |
|
3. | Rollout1 | 24/16* 13/9(2) | eq: +0.669 (-0.077) |
| Player: Opponent: | 67.42% (G:16.04% B:2.54%) 32.58% (G:7.12% B:0.86%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.665...+0.673) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 02 minutes |
|
4. | Rollout2 | 24/20(2) 13/9(2) | eq: +0.604 (-0.142) |
| Player: Opponent: | 64.82% (G:15.38% B:1.06%) 35.18% (G:7.57% B:0.55%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.601...+0.607) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 39 minutes |
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1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 66697302 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 66697302 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2