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4-ply RO and 2 variants

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Tuesday, 13 May 2025, at 12:00 p.m.

In Response To: 4-1 backgame, bearing in with 54 to play (ah_clem)

Original position: 4-ply/XGR+/Huge rollout




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 192
5 point match
pip: 131
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=bb-BbCCBA---bA---A-cB-b-b-:1:-1:1:54:0:0:0:5:9
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout113/8 6/2eq: +0,869
Player:
Opponent:
74,20% (G:38,74% B:4,80%)
25,80% (G:2,75% B:0,20%)
Conf.: ± 0,009 (+0,861...+0,878) - [100,0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout120/16 13/8eq: +0,839 (-0,030)
Player:
Opponent:
72,85% (G:38,45% B:5,10%)
27,15% (G:2,43% B:0,14%)
Conf.: ± 0,008 (+0,830...+0,847) - [0,0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 07 seconds
3.Rollout117/8eq: +0,821 (-0,048)
Player:
Opponent:
72,44% (G:38,47% B:5,20%)
27,56% (G:2,69% B:0,14%)
Conf.: ± 0,009 (+0,812...+0,830) - [0,0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 33 seconds
4.Rollout17/2 6/2eq: +0,796 (-0,074)
Player:
Opponent:
70,34% (G:39,85% B:6,36%)
29,66% (G:2,64% B:0,12%)
Conf.: ± 0,010 (+0,786...+0,805) - [0,0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 25 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Variant #1: White has 4-point instead of 1-point




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 198
5 point match
pip: 131
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=bb-BbCCBA---bA---A-cBbb---:1:-1:1:54:0:0:0:5:9
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout113/8 6/2eq: +0,542
Player:
Opponent:
65,09% (G:33,82% B:5,09%)
34,91% (G:4,75% B:0,49%)
Conf.: ± 0,010 (+0,532...+0,553) - [100,0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 17 seconds
2.Rollout120/16 13/8eq: +0,502 (-0,041)
Player:
Opponent:
63,18% (G:34,71% B:5,24%)
36,82% (G:4,35% B:0,30%)
Conf.: ± 0,009 (+0,492...+0,511) - [0,0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 16 seconds
3.Rollout117/8eq: +0,489 (-0,053)
Player:
Opponent:
62,73% (G:34,67% B:5,68%)
37,27% (G:4,29% B:0,38%)
Conf.: ± 0,010 (+0,479...+0,499) - [0,0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 57 seconds
4.Rollout17/2 6/2eq: +0,458 (-0,085)
Player:
Opponent:
60,88% (G:35,92% B:6,39%)
39,12% (G:4,54% B:0,58%)
Conf.: ± 0,010 (+0,448...+0,468) - [0,0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 57 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Variant #2: White has 43 pips better timing




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 235
5 point match
pip: 131
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=bc-BcCCBA---bA---A-cB-b---:1:-1:1:54:0:0:0:5:9
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout17/2 6/2eq: +0,661
Player:
Opponent:
62,65% (G:44,49% B:10,31%)
37,35% (G:2,58% B:0,16%)
Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,654...+0,667) - [100,0%]
Duration: 1 hour 38 minutes
2.Rollout113/8 6/2eq: +0,642 (-0,019)
Player:
Opponent:
63,23% (G:42,71% B:9,27%)
36,77% (G:2,87% B:0,21%)
Conf.: ± 0,007 (+0,635...+0,649) - [0,0%]
Duration: 1 hour 51 minutes
3.Rollout220/16 13/8eq: +0,605 (-0,056)
Player:
Opponent:
61,80% (G:42,41% B:9,81%)
38,20% (G:2,68% B:0,22%)
Conf.: ± 0,013 (+0,592...+0,618) - [0,0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 58 seconds
4.Rollout217/8eq: +0,603 (-0,058)
Player:
Opponent:
61,71% (G:42,24% B:10,10%)
38,28% (G:2,90% B:0,24%)
Conf.: ± 0,014 (+0,589...+0,617) - [0,0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 04 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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