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Position of the Day 03-31-25 - Confirmation Rollout Confirmed

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 14 May 2025, at 6:18 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-31-25 - Confirmation (Stick)

Often when I'm playing bg OtB decisions come up and we have all learned that we should make the five point or always run the last checker or clear from the rear or either five point is better than either four point or etc... Still, a position will come up and I like to verify these umbrella adages. The vast, vast, vast majority of the time they ring true. Even when they don't some of the exceptions are simply dead obvious. The ones that interest me is when a decision goes against the grain of the adage and it's unclear or I think it might be an exception but it isn't.

In this position my personal maxim that I'm sure a lot of people also subscribe to (but maybe not given the replies to this position??) is that you make points in order in this type of situation. Again, there are obvious exceptions like when we unstack the six point and make the three point instead of using our bar point to make the four point, but overall this idea of making points in order is living the hashtag truth lifestyle. When this came up OtB I thought to myself 'hmmm, could be an exception but it's not clear to me so I'll stick with the adage'. Turns out there's no meat in this burger but still in verifying it reaffirms my original thoughts. It is hard for making points out of order to be correct when there isn't some huge overtly obvious exception.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 148
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a--aEBBA-AbB--cc-e-B----:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 55

1.Rollout18/3(2) 7/2*(2) eq: +0.349
Player:
Opponent:
55.98% (G:24.66% B:0.55%)
44.02% (G:9.03% B:0.41%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.345...+0.352) - [80.9%]
Duration: 8 minutes 29 seconds
2.Rollout17/2*(2) 6/1(2)eq: +0.347 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
56.25% (G:25.10% B:0.33%)
43.75% (G:9.15% B:0.40%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.344...+0.349) - [19.1%]
Duration: 8 minutes 04 seconds
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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